CORRELATION BETWEEN ECONOMIC GROWTH AND PUBLIC DEBT LEVEL IN SELECT COUNTRIES OF THE EUROPEAN UNION

  • Wioleta Sobczak Szkoła Główna Gospodarstwa Wiejskiego w Warszawie
  • Elżbieta Radziewicz
Keywords: public debt, economic growth, transmission, asymmetry, interdependence

Abstract

The complex correlation between public debt and economic growth is very important and is a focus of research within the scientific community and among policy makers. The main purpose of this paper is to identify the correlation between the level of public debt and the level of economic growth in select European Union countries. It is an empirical study of the transmission mechanisms and impact of public debt on economic growth in countries which joined the European Union in 2004 or later. The time range of the analyses covers the years 2000–2019. Estimation of the model parameters shows that the level of public debt had an impact on economic growth only in some countries.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Afonso, A., Jalles, J.T. (2013). Growth and productivity: The role of government debt. International Review of Economics & Finance, 25, 384–407.

Ahlborn, M., Schweickert, R. (2018). Public debt and economic growth – economic systems matter. International Economics and Economic Policy, 15, 373–403.

Asteriou, D., Pilbeam, K., Pratiwi, C.E. (2020). Public debt and economic growth: panel data evidence for Asian countries. Journal of Economics and Finance, 45, 270–287.

Balassone, F., Francese, M., Pace, A. (2011). Public Debt and Economic Growth in Italy. Bank of Italy Economic History Working Paper, 11, 1–34.

Baum, A., Checherita-Westphal, C., Rotherb, P. (2013). Debt and growth: New evidence for the euro area. Journal of International Money and Finance, 32, 809–821.

Cecchetti, S.G., Mohanty, M.S., Zampolli, F. (2010). The Future of Public Debt: Prospects and Implications. Bank for International Settlements, Basel.

Checherita, C., Rother, P. (2010). The Impact of High and Growing Government Debt on Economic Growth: An Empirical Investigation for the Euro Area. ECB Working Paper Series, 1237.

Clements, B., Bhattacharya, R., Nguyen, T.Q. (2003). External Debt, Public Investment and Growth in Low-income Countries. IMF Working paper 03/249, 1–25.

Dombi, Á., Dedák, I. (2019). Public debt and economic growth: what do neoclassical growth models teach us?, Applied Economics, 51(29), 3104–3121.

Égert, B. (2015). Public debt, economic growth and nonlinear effects: Myth or reality? Journal of Macroeconomics, 43, 226–238.

Gómez-Puig, M., Sosvilla-Rivero, S. (2015). The causal relationship between debt and growth in EMU countries. Journal of Policy Modeling, 37(6), 974–989.

Granger, C.W.J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. Econometrica, (37)3, 424–438.

Granger, C.W.J. (1980). Testing for Causality. A personal Viewpoint. Journal of Economic Dynamic and Control, 2, 329–352.

Guei, K.M. (2019). External Debt and Growth in Emerging Economies. International Economic Journal, 33(2), 236–251.

Karadam, D.Y. (2018). An investigation of nonlinear effects of debt on growth. The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, 18, 1–23.

Kumar, M., Woo, J. (2010). Public debt and growth. IMF Working Papers 10/174, 1–47.

Maddala, G.S. (1977). Econometrics. McGraw-Hill, New York.

Mencinger, J., Aristovnik, A., Verbic, M. (2014). The Impact of Growing Public Debt on Economic Growth in the European Union. Amfiteatru Economic Journal, 16 (35), 403–414.

Mencinger, J., Aristovnik, A., Verbic, M. (2015). Revisiting the role of public debt in economic growth: The case of OECD countries. Engineering Economics, 26(1), 61–66.

Minea, A., Parent, A. (2012). Is high public debt always harmful to economic growth? Reinhart and Rogoff and some complex nonlinearities. Association Franaise de Cliomtrie Working Paper, 201218, 1–24.

Moore, W., Chrystol, T. (2008). A meta-analysis of the relationship between debt and growth. Munich Personal RePEc Archive Paper, 21474, 1–23.

Panizza, U., Presbitero, A.F. (2013). Public debt and economic growth in advanced economies: A survey. Swiss Journal Economics Statistics, 149, 175–204.

Qureshi, I., Liaqat, Z. (2020). The long-term consequences of external debt: Revisiting the evidence and inspecting the mechanism using panel VARs. Journal of Macroeconomics, 63, 103184, 1–19.

Rahman, N.H.A, Ismail, S., Ridzuan, A.R. (2019). David McMillan (Reviewing editor). How does public debt affect economic growth? A systematic review. Cogent Business & Management, 6(1), 1701339, 1–16.

Reinhart, C.M., Rogoff, K.S. (2010). Growth in a time of debt. American Economic Review, 100(2), 573–578.

Sims, C. (1980). Macroeconomics and Reality. Econometrica, 48, 1–48.

Yang, L., Su, J-J., (2018). Debt and growth: Is there a constant tipping point? Journal of International Money and Finance, 87, 133–143.

Zaghdoudi, T. (2020). Threshold Effect in the Relationship Between External Debt and Economic Growth: A Dynamic Panel Threshold Specification. Journal of Quantitative Economics, 18, 447–456.

Published
2021-06-02
How to Cite
Sobczak, W., & Radziewicz, E. (2021). CORRELATION BETWEEN ECONOMIC GROWTH AND PUBLIC DEBT LEVEL IN SELECT COUNTRIES OF THE EUROPEAN UNION. Acta Scientiarum Polonorum. Oeconomia, 20(1), 61-70. https://doi.org/10.22630/ASPE.2021.20.1.6